![]() Outcome A is more likely to happen than Outcome B. They are an easy way to inform the public how likely a given event is to happen. In fact, Vegas odds on NFL football are more like a shorthand than actual concept. Vegas betting is no different than placing a wager at any other sportsbook. Using Las Vegas sports odds for the NFL do not require any adjustments on your part. Las Vegas NFL odds are just NFL Vegas lines that come from sportsbooks and casinos in, you guessed it, Las Vegas! ![]() Some people get thrown by the use of Vegas betting odds for the NFL. 1 pick in the 2023 draft than winning seven games.Football is the sport to bet on in America, and this is the place to be if you’re looking to properly navigate NFL Vegas odds. There’s a better chance this team finishes with the No. They also lost Khalil Mack on defense, and did not have a first-round pick in the draft. The offense finished sixth-worst in scoring and lost its alpha WR in Allen Robinson. QB Justin Fields is a major work in progress who lost his final seven starts of 2021. Did this team get better in the offseason? I definitely think the Lions did, that’s why I like the +150 odds at BetMGM for the Bears to finish last in the NFC North. Plus, the AFC South is one of the worst divisions in the league, and its best team last year ( Tennessee Titans) took a huge offensive hit on draft day, losing A.J. Last year, this was a nine-win team that ranked top 10 in offensive and defensive scoring, and they upgraded at key spots on both sides of the ball (QB Matt Ryan and CB Stephon Gilmore). In case you’re curious, the Broncos went 0-4 and Seahawks 0-5 in one-score games. I can’t see Josh Allen, this loaded roster with no holes and another year of experience holding them back from 12+ wins. The Lions went 1-5-1, but again, Vegas already boosted them, but the Bills surprisingly went 0-4. I still expect better seasons for both teams, but now they’re riskier than assumed at a roster glance. That pushes their records to 7-9 and 7-7-1. 500, you lose three wins for the Raiders and two for the Steelers. Well, the Raiders went 7-1 and the Steelers 6-1-1 in one-score games last year. ![]() Often, those normalize, and the outliers are the reason for regression concern. That reason? Wins and losses in one-score games. Meanwhile, the Bills line is 0.5 over their 2021 win total (11). I hesitated after doing some research for the same reason I like the Bills and even the Lions (6.5), but the Lions already have Vegas baking in a +3.5 win jump. Yes, an aggressive over feels risky, and I had originally felt the Raiders (8.5) and Steelers (7.5) overs could be solid bets. It’s a lot of it, especially with him getting a second year under Nick Sirianni/Steichen in this offense. I think betting on nine wins means you have faith in Jalen Hurts I do. Brown is a Top 10 (maybe Top 7?) wide receiver in the NFL, and he’s going to transform the offense. And I’m more in on the Eagles than the Giants (so if I had $50 to play with, I’d have 35 on the Eagles and 15 on the Giants). My second-over pick is also in the NFC East - the Eagles. For the Giants to get to 8 wins, they’re going to have to steal at least, a win each from their NFC East opponents. The Giants aren’t a bad team - they have a talented RB in Saquon Barkley, they have a fresh, injury-free restart for possible WR stud Kenny Golladay, and they have a mobile QB in Daniel Jones who may finally have an OC/coach who understands his strengths, their defense is solid, they improved areas of need (OL, for instance) in the draft - but the question is: are they good? Because at 7.5, we’re talking about a near-.500 team, at 8-9. NFL Win totals and odds of making playoffs If a team on the verge of becoming a contender begins with an easy schedule, that can provide momentum through the rest of the season. Opponent off a bye week or Thursday Night FootballĪnother thing to watch is how each team starts the schedule.West coast team playing in the eastern time zone.Opponents playing back-to-back road games or three road games in a row.Getting extra rest after playing on Thursday Night Football (mini-bye).Playing a rookie head coach on Thursday Night Football.When evaluating the 2022 NFL schedule, I keep an eye on a few key situational things to see if a team gains or loses an advantage. The Panthers, Jets and Seahawks are all at 5.5 wins. On the other end, the Texas and Falcons have the lowest win totals at 4.5 at BetMGM. The Cowboys, Broncos, Packers, Chiefs, Chargers and Rams are all in the second tier at 10.5 wins. ![]() The Bills and Buccaneers have the highest win totals, each set at 11.5 wins on BetMGM.
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